Some of the biggest and most infamous cyberattacks of the past decade were caused by a security breakdown in the software supply chain. SolarWinds was probably the most well-known, but it was not alone. Incidents against companies like Equifax and tools like MOVEit also wreaked havoc for organizations and customers whose sensitive information was compromised.

Expect to see more software supply chain attacks moving forward. According to ReversingLabs’ The State of Software Supply Chain Security 2024 study, attacks against the software supply chain are getting easier and more ubiquitous.

“For example, Operation Brainleeches, identified by ReversingLabs in July, showed elements of software supply chain attacks supporting commodity phishing attacks that use malicious email attachments to harvest Microsoft.com logins,” the report stated.

It is easier to conduct software supply chain attacks, so they are increasing at an alarming rate. The ReversingLabs report saw a 1,300% increase in threats coming from open-source package repositories last year. That’s the bad news.

The good news is that cybersecurity teams and government entities recognize the risks coming from the software supply chain, and there is a lot of action toward defending against these attacks and steps to solidify security before the software is released into the wild.

Who controls the software?

Who controls the software and who controls the device are the game-changers in software supply chain security, according to Xin Qiu, Sr., Director of Security Product Marketing and Management at CommScope. But that’s hyper-focused down to the developers and system engineers creating the software and setting up the systems. The problem is that there is little integration within an organization to enable effective control.

Companies have a lot of tools, but they are scattered around, says Qiu. Everyone is siloed, doing things in different ways. That approach has to change.

It is the federal government that is taking the lead in tackling software supply chain security with technical regulations and laws.

“To improve your software supply chain security, you need to have a common standard,” says Qiu. “I think this is a good way to fill those gaps.”

The most recognizable action taken by the government entities was the Executive Order(EO) from the Biden administration, which addresses the nation’s cybersecurity but especially emphasizes protecting the software supply chain. In conjunction with that EO, a cross-sector group representing different government agencies, the Enduring Security Framework (ESF) Software Supply Chain Working Panel, put together a comprehensive guide for recommended practices of security in the software supply chain for developers. NIST also has a framework to secure the software supply chain.

4 security solution trends for the software supply chain

But government guidelines and regulations only go so far, and it is up to organizations to better equip themselves with the tools, solutions and processes that allow developers, engineers and security and IT teams to address risks within the software supply chain. There are a number of ideas and tools out there, some initiated by the government, that are trending in the battle against vulnerabilities and threats.

1. Secure by design

At RSAC2024, CISA Director Jen Easterly and a panel of cybersecurity professionals gave a panel on CISA’s Secure by Design initiative. The idea is to build security into products and make it a business feature and core technical requirement rather than the more standard approach of treating security as a failure. “During the design phase of a product’s development lifecycle, companies should implement Secure by Design principles to significantly decrease the number of exploitable flaws before introducing them to the market for widespread use or consumption,” the initiative’s website states.

Part of the presentation was the introduction of the initial group of businesses that took the Secure by Design pledge. According to CISA, “By participating in the pledge, software manufacturers are pledging to make a good-faith effort to work towards the goals listed below over the following year.” The pledge includes a list of goals for developers and organizations to work toward. These goals include standards around MFA, reducing default passwords and better transparency around vulnerability disclosure and reporting. More than 200 organizations have taken the pledge so far.

2. Software bill of materials (SBOMs)

SBOMs are a nested inventory of all the components that make up a software application. The components can include open source, third parties, patch status and licenses. SBOMs have become a key part of the software supply chain security structure and are endorsed by CISA as a way for developers to build a community that works together to share ideas and experiences around operationalization, scaling, technologies, new tools and use cases. To encourage SBOM use and understanding, CISA facilitates regular meetings from those across the software development and design community and also offers a resource library.

SBOMs can help an organization identify risks, especially in third-party and proprietary software packages: track vulnerabilities within the different components; ensure compliance and help the team make better security decisions by being more aware of the component parts of their software.

3. Supply-chain levels for software artifacts (SLSA) frameworks

SLSA is a security framework to safeguard the integrity of software artifacts. It is a checklist of standards to better improve the integrity of the software, prevent tampering and exploitation and keep the infrastructure and application packages secure. The framework was based on Google’s production workloads and offers a structured approach to evaluating the security posture of software components throughout the supply chain.

4. Governance, risk and compliance (GRC) management

GRC management is used to mitigate security risks within a software development supply chain while ensuring the software meets required regulatory compliances and security standards. Some of the areas that GRC monitors include:

• Identifying risks across the entire software supply chain
• Vendor risk management and assessment of third-party security posture before integrating the software into your organization’s system
• Compliance management to meet industry and government standards
• Policy enforcement across the development lifecycle
• Incident response after a cyber incident caused by the software supply chain

GRC management tools can also be used with SBOM analysis.

The evolving puzzle of software supply chain security

This is just a sample of the tools and solutions used to protect the software supply chain from risk. As security is more consciously built into the software and developers and engineers share information in communities rather than working in silos, there is a fighting chance of slowing the threats against the software supply chain.

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Grocery store shoppers at many chains recently ran into an unwelcome surprise: empty shelves and delayed prescriptions. In early November, Ahold Delhaize USA was the victim of a cyberattack that significantly disrupted operations at more than 2,000 stores, including Hannaford, Food Lion and Stop and Shop. Specific details of the nature of the attack have not yet been publicly released.

Because the attack affected many digital systems, some stores were not able to accept credit/debit cards, while others had to shut down online ordering. Additionally, Hannaford’s website was offline for several days. Food supply issues have lasted several weeks in some cases, especially in the New England area, illustrating the impact cyberattacks have on people’s everyday lives.

Cybersecurity in the agrifood industry

The importance of cybersecurity in the food supply chain continues to increase as the agrifood industry becomes increasingly digitized. The increase in smart farming means a cybersecurity attack can even impact growing and harvesting. In addition to the production and distribution processes, a cyberattack can even impact food safety. For example, a cyberattack could interfere with technology that monitors food temperature during production, which can lead to contamination.

Cybersecurity is especially key in this industry because one issue in one segment can quickly compound across the globe. Because of the complex process of bringing food from farm to table, a single vulnerability in one small company can have a major impact on the food supply chain. Additionally, many agrifood companies rely heavily on third-party vendors.

“One challenge with ransomware attacks is that they can cause consequences for suppliers or partners of the victim company, in addition to the direct impact on the victim company itself. Considering the integrated and interconnected nature of the food and agriculture industry, a disruption in one company likely will have a cascading [effect],” according to the Farm to Table Ransomware Report by Food Ag ISAC.

For example, many grocery store chains hire vendors to transport products from warehouses to stores. A cyberattack on the transportation company can shut down critical systems, meaning that food does not arrive as scheduled, which leads to empty shelves.

“Attacks targeting suppliers, distributors or logistics providers can lead to delays in product delivery, shortages or the introduction of counterfeit products. Disruptions in the supply chain can have far-reaching consequences, affecting not only the profitability of companies but also impacting food availability and increasing prices for consumers,” reports Food Safety magazine.

According to Forbes, FBI Special Agent Gene Kowel, speaking at the August FBI Agriculture Threats Symposium in Nebraska, said: “The cyber risk and national security threat to farms, ranches and food processing facilities is growing exponentially. The threats are evolving, becoming more complex and severe.” He also stated that the four key threats facing the agriculture sector are ransomware attacks, foreign malware, data and intellectual property theft and bioterrorism impacting food production and the water supply. Additionally, he warned that foreign entities are actively attempting to destabilize the U.S. agriculture industry.

Recent agrifood cyberattacks

While grocery stores have dominated the headlines lately regarding agrifood cyberattacks, other companies faced cybersecurity attacks in recent years.

In October 2021, Schreiber Foods, a milk processing company, was the victim of a ransomware attack. According to ZDNET, the attack disrupted the entire milk supply due to a change in the digital processes for milk processing. Wisconsin State Farmer reported that milk deliveries resumed five days after the attack. Additionally, milk transporters were unable to access the building and the company faced a $2.5 million ransomware demand.

The highly publicized attack on JBS, the world’s largest meat-packing company, also happened in 2021. Business was disrupted at 47 locations in Australia and nine locations in the U.S. for five days after Russian hacker group Revil encrypted the organization’s systems. JBS reportedly paid $11 million in ransomware following the attack. The attack also led to some meat shortages as well as temporarily higher meat prices.

Farm and Food Cybersecurity Act

To strengthen cybersecurity in the agrifood industry, the Farm and Food Cybersecurity Act is currently in committee in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. A key component of the act is that the secretary of agriculture will conduct a study every two years on cybersecurity threats and vulnerabilities within the agriculture and food sectors.

Additionally, the secretary of agriculture will work with other agencies to conduct an annual cross-sector crisis simulation exercise for food-related cyber emergencies or disruptions.

“Food security is national security, so it’s critical that American agriculture is protected from cyber threats,” says Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich. “No longer just some tech issue, cyberattacks have the potential to upend folks’ daily lives and threaten our food supply — as we saw a couple of years ago when the meat-packing company JBS was taken offline by a ransomware attack. This legislation will require the Department of Agriculture to work closely with our national security agencies to ensure that adversaries like China can’t threaten our ability to feed ourselves by ourselves.”

Reducing the risk of agrifood cyberattacks

Because of the critical nature of their services in relation to the food supply, all companies involved in the agrifood industry should make cybersecurity a high priority. To help improve cybersecurity in the industry, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) recently released a Food and Agriculture Cybersecurity Checklist.

Tips from the sheet include:

• Use strong passwords
• Turn on multi-factor authentication
• Recognize and report phishing
• Update software with new versions and patches
• Use cybersecurity tools to mitigate exposure
• Back up your data
• Develop cybersecurity incident response and recovery plans
• Report cybersecurity incidents to www.cisa.gov/report

While the recent empty shelves in grocery stores are a stark reminder of the importance of cybersecurity, the agrifood industry must stay proactive about addressing cybersecurity risks every day of the year.

The post How cyberattacks on grocery stores could threaten food security appeared first on Security Intelligence.

AI has made an impact everywhere else across the tech world, so it should surprise no one that the 2024 ISC2 Cybersecurity Workforce Study saw artificial intelligence (AI) jump into the top five list of security skills.

It’s not just the need for workers with security-related AI skills. The Workforce Study also takes a deep dive into how the 16,000 respondents think AI will impact cybersecurity and job roles overall, from changing skills approaches to creating generative AI (gen AI) strategies.

Budgets and the skills gap

According to the study, two-thirds of respondents think that their expertise in cybersecurity will augment AI technology; on the flip side, a third are concerned their jobs could be eliminated in an AI-focused world.

That, of course, is not going to happen immediately. Not even half the respondents have implemented gen AI into their tools. The more immediate concern for cybersecurity professionals is budgets.

“In 2024, 25% of respondents reported layoffs in their cybersecurity departments, a 3% rise from 2023, while 37% faced budget cuts, a 7% rise from 2023,” the report stated.

These budget cuts have impacted the skills gap, as two-thirds of the respondents said not only have the budget cuts led to current staffing shortages but they are expected to make closing the skills gap even more difficult in the next few years.

Many of the respondents pointed out that the skills gap has had a more negative effect on organizational security than the decrease in on-site staff. In part because the funding isn’t available for training and because those with skills in high demand are moving on to better-paying positions, many security teams struggle to address the threats and risks in today’s cybersecurity landscape.

The role of AI in the skills gap

Two years ago, AI wasn’t even considered a required skill set for cybersecurity jobs, but now it is a top five skill, said Jon France, CISO with ISC2.

“And we suspect that probably next year, it will be the number one in-demand skill set around security,” France said in a conversation at ISC2’s Security Congress in Las Vegas.

(If you’re wondering, the other skills in the top five are cloud, zero trust architecture, forensics, incident response and application security — all areas that have been at the top of the skills need list for a long time.)

AI’s role in cybersecurity is changing because of the exponential increase in data and the need to gather good intelligence on the data being generated.

“AI is one of the tools that can obviously consider large data sets very quickly,” said France. Still, human eyes are necessary to validate the results generated from AI models. This is where AI security skills will be most needed to advance the changes in how analysts and incident responders analyze data.

France also believes that AI will change the scope of entry-level security positions. “I think if you’re coming into the profession, and if you’ve got to pick up one thing to learn, you’ll get the most favorable opportunities if you have experience of using generative AI coding.”

Right now, however, there is a bit of a disconnect between the technical skills that hiring managers think are needed and what non-hiring managers want. Both types of managers list cloud computing security skills at the top of the list, but when asked about AI/ML skills, only 24% of hiring managers said it was a skill they want right now, ranking last on the skills-need list. When non-hiring managers are asked about the skills most in demand to advance careers, 37% said AI/ML, higher than every other listed skill but cloud security.

AI is reinventing cybersecurity skills

In its study AI in Cyber 2024, ISC2 found that 82% of respondents are optimistic that AI will improve work efficiency, and 88% thought it would impact their job role in some way. Relying more on AI in the cyber world has a lot of positive points, but there are also issues around the technology causing stress. Four in ten respondents said they aren’t prepared for the explosion of AI, according to the AI study, and 65% said their organization needs more regulations around the safe use of gen AI, according to the Workforce study.

But there are also a lot of question marks surrounding what skills will be needed. “While study participants speculated on what skills may be automated or streamlined, they cannot yet predict what activities, if any, AI will replace,” the study reported. Perhaps this is why hiring managers are showing some reluctance to hire cybersecurity professionals who have AI technical expertise.

With AI, many anticipate an uptick in the need for non-technical skills. Cybersecurity has been more open to finding potential professionals outside of the traditional technical areas and training them for their new roles, so it isn’t too surprising that, because hiring managers aren’t certain of the type of skills that will be required for using gen AI as a security tool (or for securing gen AI, for that matter), there is a greater willingness to default to non-tech skills that are seen as more transferable as the technology evolves. Overall, strong communication skills were listed as the most in-demand skill set across all of cybersecurity, followed closely by strong problem-solving skills and teamwork/collaboration skills.

The cyber workforce in the world of AI

Looking at the overall picture of how AI skills will fit into the cybersecurity workforce going forward, it is likely that the issues that hamper hiring today will have a similar impact on AI expertise. Budget cuts will decrease the workforce, as already mentioned. France pointed to the human resources gap as well, where entry-level positions are posted with requirements such as certifications that require five years of work experience.

“We also need to blow this myth: New entrance into the cybersecurity workforce doesn’t mean young. It can be a career change. In fact, career changes bring a lot of different viewpoints and experiences,” said France.

Hire for the skills the employee is bringing to the table, even if they aren’t what you need right now. “The rest,” said France, “can be taught.”

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Cybersecurity concerns in 2024 can be summed up in two letters: AI (or five letters if you narrow it down to gen AI). Organizations are still in the early stages of understanding the risks and rewards of this technology. For all the good it can do to improve data protection, keep up with compliance regulations and enable faster threat detection, threat actors are also using AI to accelerate their social engineering attacks and sabotage AI models with malware.

AI might have gotten the lion’s share of attention in 2024, but it wasn’t the only cyber threat organizations had to deal with. Credential theft continues to be problematic, with a 71% year-over-year increase in attacks using compromised credentials. The skills shortage continues, costing companies an additional $1.76 million in a data breach aftermath. And as more companies rely on the cloud, it shouldn’t be surprising that there has been a spike in cloud intrusions.

But there have been positive steps in cybersecurity over the past year. CISA’s Secure by Design program signed on more than 250 software manufacturers to improve their cybersecurity hygiene. CISA also introduced its Cyber Incident Reporting Portal to improve the way organizations share cyber information.

Last year’s cybersecurity predictions focused heavily on AI and its impact on how security teams will operate in the future. This year’s predictions also emphasize AI, showing that cybersecurity may have reached a point where security and AI are interdependent on each other, for both good and bad.

Here are this year’s predictions.

Shadow AI is everywhere (Akiba Saeedi, Vice President, IBM Security Product Management)

Shadow AI will prove to be more common — and risky — than we thought. Businesses have more and more generative AI models deployed across their systems each day, sometimes without their knowledge. In 2025, enterprises will truly see the scope of “shadow AI” – unsanctioned AI models used by staff that aren’t properly governed. Shadow AI presents a major risk to data security, and businesses that successfully confront this issue in 2025 will use a mix of clear governance policies, comprehensive workforce training and diligent detection and response.

Identity’s transformation (Wes Gyure, Executive Director, IBM Security Product Management)

How enterprises think about identity will continue to transform in the wake of hybrid cloud and app modernization initiatives. Recognizing that identity has become the new security perimeter, enterprises will continue their shift to an Identity-First strategy, managing and securing access to applications and critical data, including gen AI models. In 2025, a fundamental component of this strategy is to build an effective identity fabric, a product-agnostic integrated set of identity tools and services. When done right, this will be a welcome relief to security professionals, taming the chaos and risk caused by a proliferation of multicloud environments and scattered identity solutions.

Everyone must work together to manage threats (Sam Hector, Global Strategy Leader, IBM Security)

Cybersecurity teams will no longer be able to effectively manage threats in isolation. Threats from generative AI and hybrid cloud adoption are rapidly evolving. Meanwhile, the risk quantum computing poses to modern standards of public-key encryption will become unavoidable. Given the maturation of new quantum-safe cryptography standards, there will be a drive to discover encrypted assets and accelerate the modernization of cryptography management. Next year, successful organizations will be those where executives and diverse teams jointly develop and enforce cybersecurity strategies, embedding security into the organizational culture.

Prepare for post-quantum cryptography standards (Ray Harishankar, IBM Fellow, IBM Quantum Safe)

As organizations begin the transition to post-quantum cryptography over the next year, agility will be crucial to ensure systems are prepared for continued transformation, particularly as the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) continues to expand its toolbox of post-quantum cryptography standards. NIST’s initial post-quantum cryptography standards were a signal to the world that the time is now to start the journey to becoming quantum-safe. But equally important is the need for crypto agility, ensuring that systems can rapidly adapt to new cryptographic mechanisms and algorithms in response to changing threats, technological advances and vulnerabilities. Ideally, automation will streamline and accelerate the process.

Data will become a vital part of AI security (Suja Viswesan, vice president of Security Software Development, IBM)

Data and AI security will become an essential ingredient of trustworthy AI. “Trustworthy AI” is often interpreted as AI that is transparent, fair and privacy-protecting. These are critical characteristics. But if AI and the data powering it aren’t also secure, then all other characteristics are compromised. In 2025, as businesses, governments and individuals interact with AI more often and with higher stakes, data and AI security will be viewed as an even more important part of the trustworthy AI recipe.

Organizations will continue learning the juxtaposition of AI’s benefits and threats (Mark Hughes, Global Managing Partner, Cybersecurity Services, IBM)

As AI matures from proof-of-concept to wide-scale deployment, enterprises reap the benefits of productivity and efficiency gains, including automating security and compliance tasks to protect their data and assets. But organizations need to be aware of AI being used as a new tool or conduit for threat actors to breach long-standing security processes and protocols. Businesses need to adopt security frameworks, best practice recommendations and guardrails for AI and adapt quickly — to address both the benefits and risks associated with rapid AI advancements.

Greater understanding of AI-assisted versus AI-powered threats (Troy Bettencourt, Global Partner and Head of IBM X-Force)

Protect against AI-assisted threats; plan for AI-powered threats. There is a distinction between AI-powered and AI-assisted threats, including how organizations should think about their proactive security posture. AI-powered attacks, like deepfake video scams, have been limited to date; today’s threats remain primarily AI-assisted — meaning AI can help threat actors create variants of existing malware or a better phishing email lure. To address current AI-assisted threats, organizations should prioritize implementing end-to-end security for their own AI solutions, including protecting user interfaces, APIs, language models and machine learning operations, while remaining mindful of strategies to defend against future AI-powered attacks.

There’s a very clear message from these predictions that understanding how AI can help and hurt an organization is vital to ensuring your company and its assets are protected in 2025 and beyond.

The post Cybersecurity trends: IBM’s predictions for 2025 appeared first on Security Intelligence.

Ask CISOs why they think there is a cyber skills shortage in their organization, what keeps them up at night or what the most important issue facing the industry is — at some point, even if not the first response, they will bring up budgets.

For example, at RSA Conference 2024, a roundtable discussion about issues facing the cybersecurity industry, one CISO stated bluntly that budgets — or lack thereof — are the biggest problem. At a time when everything is getting more expensive, the CISO said, security budgets are being slashed.

As for the cybersecurity talent shortage, the 2024 ISC2 Cybersecurity Workforce Study noted that “39% said a lack of budget was the top reason for cyber shortages, replacing a shortage of talent as the previous top reason for staff shortages.” According to Forrester’s 2024 Cybersecurity Benchmarks Global Report, the cybersecurity budget is just 5.7% of the entire IT budget, making it very difficult for CISOs to bring in the right personnel or upgrade tools and solutions.

However, it might not be the dollar amount that is the problem as much as where the budget is coming from. CEOs think about cybersecurity differently when it is tied to IT and when the CISO reports directly to the CIO versus when the CISO can present cybersecurity as a vital cog in overall business operations and tie it directly to business risk, the Forrester report found.

“CISOs who can articulate the business value of cybersecurity, demonstrating how it can drive revenue and support strategic goals, are more likely to secure the necessary funding. This shift also reflects a growing recognition of cybersecurity’s strategic importance beyond mere IT operations,” Louis Columbus wrote.

Key issues in cybersecurity funding

Once cybersecurity is approached as a key factor in business operations rather than as a function of IT, CEOs and CISOs are more likely to be on the same page when it comes to budget.

“Security funding and oversight is a top priority for both the management team and the Board of Directors,” said Dave Gerry, CEO of Bugcrowd.

“Cybersecurity investment uplift is prioritized against the cyber threats we face as a business; the IT risks that we have identified and need to remediate or the customer and compliance obligations that we need to ensure,” Gerry added. “Thematically, however, it all points back to ensuring that the confidentiality, integrity and availability of our data we reside over is protected — whether it’s that of customers, employees or critical business partners, whilst enabling our business in-turn.”

Risk prioritization and business continuity are two key areas that George Jones, CISO at Critical Start, focuses on. Along with emerging threats and vulnerability management, Jones says these four items are the pillars of security for the enterprise as they are aligned with overall business goals and objectives.

One of the drivers behind realigning cybersecurity investments is the Security and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) new rules around the disclosure of cybersecurity incidents. Organizations are now also required to share details about their cybersecurity risk management programs, particularly around any financial information.

“After recent SEC guidelines were announced, Boards are more focused than ever on cyber risk reduction and ensuring adequate funding is critical, especially as organization’s attack surfaces continue to rapidly expand,” said Gerry.

Collaboration between CISOs and CEOs

While CISOs and CEOs (and, in many cases, in conjunction with the CFO) have to build an ongoing dialogue about cybersecurity investments, they are coming to the table with two different interests.

“The CEO lens will be focused on obtaining satisfaction that the security initiatives deliver value with tolerable impacts on productivity, but more importantly looking for the potential of competitive advantage,” said Gareth Lindahl-Wise, CISO at Ontinue. The CISO’s approach, on the other hand, focuses on risk prevention, mitigation and solutions to meet all of the organization’s legal, regulatory and contractual obligations.

The overall goal should be to create a security posture advantageous in gaining or retaining customers or attracting investment. Ultimately, said Lindahl-Wise, these decisions lie with the CEO and board.

“When it comes to funding and risk acceptance, CISO is, largely, an expert advisor — if an informed and conscious decision has been made by a CEO, then one should argue the CISO has discharged their responsibilities,” Lindahl-Wise added.

CEO Gerry, however, said the final decision on funding allocation is made by the Board of Directors, and it is up to both the CEO and the CISO to get their buy-in on where and what security investments should be made.

“This is a key reason that the CISO should report to the CEO and have direct access to the Board of Directors,” said Gerry. “While oftentimes security can be viewed as a cost center, the new reality is that a robust security program should be a competitive differentiator and a revenue enabler, in addition to simply being the cost of doing business in an ever-expanding threat environment.”

The Future is AI

CISOs have long understood the role AI plays in cybersecurity, particularly handling some of the most mundane tasks that free up time for overworked security teams to handle issues that require hands-on management. As generative AI becomes ubiquitous in the workplace, CEOs have become increasingly aware of AI’s impact on business and security risks. Some companies are turning to adding Chief AI Officers to their IT and security teams, but even when they aren’t CEOs still recognize the need to include AI in future security budgets.

“As threats become more sophisticated, leveraging AI tools enables us to enhance our threat detection, automate responses and improve incident management,” said Darren Guccione, CEO at Keeper Security. “Skilled professionals are needed to navigate the rapidly evolving threat landscape and ensure that our AI-driven strategies remain effective and secure and must be a budget consideration.”

How it is defined within the cybersecurity budget will depend on how it is used. Will it be a fringe use of AI in commercial tools for productivity gains or an embedded use of AI in the organization’s core offerings?

“If it is the latter, the CEO must satisfy themselves that the organization has the right experience to manage the opportunities and risks,” Lindahl-Wise said. As for the security side of things, “My hunch is we will see AI responsibilities feature heavily in CIO/CTO roles before standalone CAIOs become the norm.”

AI might be the most current technology and security disrupter, but it won’t be the last. Where it is similar is that it creates risk, both to the business and to cybersecurity, and risk is where CEOs and CISOs will focus on investments as a team.

The post CISO vs. CEO: Making a case for cybersecurity investments appeared first on Security Intelligence.

As 2024 comes to an end, it’s time to look ahead to the state of public cybersecurity in 2025.

The good news is this: Cybersecurity will be an ongoing concern for the government regardless of the party in power, as many current cybersecurity initiatives are bipartisan. But what will government cybersecurity look like in 2025?

Will the country be better off than they are today? What are the positive signs that could signal a good year for national cybersecurity? And what threats should we be looking out for?

To get the answers to these pressing questions, we spoke with Jake Braun, former Principal Deputy National Cyber Director under President Biden and lecturer and senior advisor at Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago.

The current state of cybersecurity

According to Braun, the current state of cybersecurity in the country is showing significant progress. Still, he says, it remains a work in progress.

Recent initiatives, such as the White House’s efforts to modernize security policies, are moving the needle forward. Braun notes that the push towards using memory-safe programming languages like Rust to replace older, vulnerable languages and initiatives for improving BGP security are signs that national-level cybersecurity is receiving strategic attention.

“The focus has shifted from addressing specific vulnerabilities to eliminating entire classes of threats by enhancing infrastructure fundamentals,” he said.

Another exciting development is the government’s approach to the cybersecurity skills gap, as they move away from requiring traditional four-year degrees for cybersecurity roles. Instead, there’s a push towards skill-based training, aiming to fill gaps in cybersecurity staffing quickly and effectively.

“We need to move past the outdated notion that every cybersecurity role requires a Ph.D. or even a four-year degree,” Braun said. “Many of these roles can be filled by individuals with hands-on experience and targeted skills training, which allows us to broaden the talent pool and address critical workforce shortages more effectively.”

While challenges like over-regulation and fragmented compliance requirements still exist, there is notable progress in streamlining these areas to free up resources for actual security improvements.

What will government cybersecurity look like in 2025?

Government cybersecurity is expected to evolve into a more cohesive and strategically aligned effort. There will likely be continued work on harmonizing cybersecurity regulations, which will reduce the bureaucratic overhead for corporations and government entities alike.

“By 2025, I expect we will see a much more unified approach to cybersecurity regulations,” he said. “It will significantly reduce the burden on corporations and allow them to focus on real security measures rather than compliance paperwork.”

Another key area of focus, while not directly cybersecurity-related at first glance, is improving the resilience of critical infrastructure. The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL), the CHIPS Act and the Inflation Reduction Act have already laid the groundwork for enhancing cybersecurity in sectors like energy, transportation and telecommunications. These investments are expected to bring about significant improvements in the security posture of both public and private infrastructure — essentially ensuring that cybersecurity is built into the core of modernization efforts rather than being an afterthought.

One example Braun points to is modernizing the electrical grid and water systems, including enhanced cyber protections to prevent both physical and digital disruptions.

“Those three bills make up almost $2 trillion of investment in our infrastructure around the country,” he said. “And while cyber’s only called out explicitly in a few places, it’s kind of implicit in pretty much every single aspect of these bills. You can’t build a new wind farm and hook it up to the grid without there being cyber involved.”

Another effort that is expected to continue is the focus on public-private partnerships. While a distrust in information sharing still exists, the government recognizes that effective cybersecurity cannot be achieved in isolation. Increased collaboration with private sector companies will be critical for sharing threat intelligence, aligning security standards and responding swiftly to emerging threats.

Circling back to the skills gap issue, Braun expects there will be an increased emphasis on cybersecurity education and workforce development. Programs to re-skill workers, provide hands-on training, and promote diversity within the cybersecurity workforce will be expanded.

“While technology is inherently not secure because… just talk to any hacker at DefCon and they’ll tell you that you can hack pretty much anything… I do think that we’re being more strategic, and we’ve got more resources and more initiatives that are strategic and not just tactical going on now than we did before.”

What threats should we be aware of?

Despite the many reasons for optimism, potentially harmful threats are on the horizon. According to Braun, geopolitical tensions, particularly with Ukraine as well as China’s ambitions in Taiwan, pose significant cybersecurity challenges.

“These situations could dramatically influence the evolution of cyber threats and how we need to position ourselves defensively,” he said.

The outcome of these international developments will shape how cyber threats evolve and how the U.S. can position itself to defend against both state-sponsored and independent actors.

Braun suggests that The New Great Game over control of the internet — whether it will remain free and democratic or become fragmented and authoritarian — is another issue that governments around the world must pay attention to. The outcome can impact the future of digital freedom across the globe.

“China’s Belt and Road Initiative has put many smaller countries in a tough predicament, giving China leverage to push their authoritarian model of internet governance. This could lead to a fragmented global internet, which would have serious implications for cybersecurity and digital freedom.”

Facing cybersecurity in 2025 with proactive measures

Still, Braun is approaching 2025 with cautious optimism. He emphasized that while technology will always have inherent vulnerabilities, the strategic approach of the government — coupled with substantial investments — lays the foundation for the future of national cybersecurity to be more promising than it has been in previous years.

“The country will likely be better prepared due to the significant investments in infrastructure and security standards, as well as initiatives to enhance workforce capabilities,” he said. “The significant investments we’re making in infrastructure and cybersecurity standards are going to put us in a much better place. We’re seeing proactive measures, like bolstering cybersecurity in critical areas such as water utilities, which are crucial for both civilian and military stability.”

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The new year always kicks off with a flood of prediction articles; then, 12 months later, our newsfeed is filled with wrap-up articles. But we are often left to wonder if experts got it right in January about how the year would unfold. As we close out 2024, let’s take a moment to go back and see if the crystal balls were working about how the year would play out in cybersecurity.

Here are five trends that were often predicted for 2024.

1. The use of artificial intelligence in cybersecurity will increase

As the year began, there was no doubt that artificial intelligence (AI) would be a main character in the year’s events — and that was right on the money. Many organizations began to use or continue using AI in their cybersecurity operations in a wide range of ways. For example, Microsoft’s internal response teams use a large language model to manage requests and tickets based on how they were handled previously, saving 20 hours per person each week.

As the world turned its attention over the summer to the Paris Olympics, the team responsible for keeping the Paris Olympics data, apps, systems and even physical buildings protected turned to AI. While 140 cyberattacks were linked to the Olympics, the teams’ efforts resulted in no disruption of the competitions.

Throughout the entire life cycle of the games, from before the opening ceremony to after the torch left Paris, cybersecurity teams used AI to secure critical information systems, protect sensitive data and raise awareness within the games’ ecosystem. Additionally, algorithmic video surveillance based in AI scanned video to detect abandoned bags, the presence of weapons, unusual crowd movements and fires.

2. Organizations will see more AI-based threats and attacks

Unfortunately, experts were right about cyber criminals also turning to AI technology to more effectively conduct attacks. Threat actors are using AI in a wide range of ways for data breaches and cyberattacks, including improved reconnaissance, better target profiling and lowering expertise required for conducting an attack. Because AI can automate many processes required for an attack, such as vulnerability scanning, exploitation and data exfiltration processes, more cyber criminals now have the skills for even more damaging attacks.

“Since the release of gen AI, attackers are increasingly employing tools along with large language models to carry out large-scale social engineering attacks, and Gartner predicts that by 2027, 17% of total cyberattacks/data leaks will involve generative AI,” wrote Gartner in an August 2024 press release.

IBM distinguished engineer Jeff Crume has no doubt that the trend of cyber criminals using AI for attacks will continue in 2025. He says that cyber professionals do a better job of authentication because attackers are finding it easier to log in than to hack in. While looking for bad grammar and spelling errors now works to spot phishing attacks, he expects that this will no longer work as AI-based phishing attacks hit mass distribution.

3. An increase in deepfakes and deceptions

While experts correctly predicted that deepfakes would become more of a threat in 2024, it’s likely no one expected the scale of arguably the most shocking deepfake story of the year. At the beginning of 2024, attackers created a deepfake video call that led to an employee giving the cyber criminals $25 million, which showed the power and damage that deepfakes can cause. But the World Economic Forum expects that the trend will only increase, even declaring that over the next two years, AI-fueled disinformation will be the number one threat in the world.

Throughout the year, other deepfake incidents made headlines. Quantum AI, an AI company, was suspected by the Securities and Exchange Commission of using AI to generate deepfakes on social media to deceive the public that Elon Musk developed the company’s technology. Even the well-received Paris Olympics were not immune to deepfakes, with Russian Group Storm-1679 suspected of creating AI content to discredit the International Olympic Committee. As the year closed out, German citizens saw an increase in AI-based propaganda regarding the upcoming German elections in 2025, including text, images and video.

4. A growing impact of quantum computing on cybersecurity

Ray Harishankar, IBM Fellow, IBM Quantum Safe, predicted that in 2024, “harvest now, decrypt later” attacks would become more common. As the year moved forward, quantum computing became an increasingly top concern, especially the harvest-now attacks. In July, the Office of Management and Budget released the Report on Post-Quantum Cryptography, which urged organizations to prepare their systems and processes for advancements in quantum computing.

During the fall of 2024, the predictions of the quantum’s impact became even more urgent, as symmetric cryptography would be unsafe by 2029, with even asymmetric cryptography fully breakable by quantum technology by 2034.

“That does not mean, however, that the risks are five years away. The prospect of harvest-now, decrypt-later attacks is already a concern, making the post-quantum cryptography transition an urgent priority,” wrote Gartner.

 5. Recession of ransomware attacks

John Dwyer, former Head of Research at IBM X-Force, predicted we might face a ransomware recession as more companies pledged not to pay the ransom. While we wish we could declare this came true, the jury is still out, and likely, we won’t know for sure until all the data is collected from 2024.

However, Wired declared in the summer of 2024 that “ransomware showed no signs of slowing down in 2024 — despite increasing police crackdowns.” In December, Heather Wishart-Smith wrote in her Forbes article The Persistent Ransomware Threat: 2024 Trends and High-Profile Attacks about the increasing dual extortion technique of cyber criminals as an increasing trend in 2024.

All in all, the experts were largely on target with their 2024 predictions. And in the next few weeks, we will start the prediction game all over again as we wonder what’s in the cards for cybersecurity in 2025.

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